{"id":22457,"date":"2026-10-15T13:10:48","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T08:10:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dailyrapidnews.com\/eng\/?p=22457"},"modified":"2026-10-15T13:10:54","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T08:10:54","slug":"imf-warns-of-asia-growth-risks-from-iran-war-ai-boom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dailyrapidnews.com\/eng\/2026\/10\/15\/imf-warns-of-asia-growth-risks-from-iran-war-ai-boom\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF warns of Asia growth risks from Iran war, AI boom"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The International \u200bMonetary Fund on Thursday projected Asia&#8217;s economic growth would moderate next year and warned of heightening risks from the Iran war-induced \u200cenergy shock, a potential correction in the AI boom and spillovers from rising global bond yields.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In a report on the outlook for the Asia-Pacific region, the global lender also said uncertainty over the US monetary policy path could keep Asian financial markets volatile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Exchange rates and capital flows have become more volatile since the energy shock this year,&#8221; with several emerging \u200beconomies experiencing depreciation pressures, the IMF said in the report issued during its annual meetings in Bangkok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While foreign investment inflows in the region \u200bremain generally robust, such moves have coincided with some portfolio outflows such as from South Korean technology stocks, it \u2060said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The US monetary stance is expected to continue to tighten later this year. The combination of monetary policy tightening and fiscal pressures in most major \u200badvanced economies is likely to keep upward pressures on yields across Asia and the Pacific.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The IMF said it now expects Asia&#8217;s economy to grow 4.8% in 2026 \u200band 4.4% in 2027, higher than projections made in April but still slowing from a 5.0% expansion in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The revisions largely reflected the boost from the AI boom for advanced Asian economies, with their growth expected to accelerate to 3.2% in 2026 from 2.5% last year, it said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emerging Asia remains the region&#8217;s main growth engine but will likely see \u200bgrowth moderate to 5.1% in 2026 from 5.6% last year due to the hit from higher energy prices, the report said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Risks to the outlook remain \u200btilted to the downside&#8221; as a prolonged stalemate in the Middle East conflict could keep commodity prices high and deplete oil reserves, the IMF said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A correction in AI demand \u200ccould weigh \u2060on global growth, with the effects likely to be particularly pronounced in Asia given its extensive exposure to the AI production chain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With global yields rising, market stress in major sovereign issuers like the US, the UK, euro zone and Japan could spill over to Asian bond markets, pushing up yields and exacerbating already-elevated fiscal vulnerabilities, it said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;With public debt and borrowing needs remaining high across much of the region, an abrupt tightening of financial conditions could further strain public \u200bfinances by raising debt-servicing costs,&#8221; the \u200bIMF said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The International \u200bMonetary Fund on Thursday projected Asia&#8217;s economic growth would moderate next year and<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22458,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,215],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-latest"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v18.4.1 - 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After opening, markets were up 8%, a significant contrast to Monday, when markets were\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;latest&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"European stocks fall as impact of Ukraine war spreads","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dailyrapidnews.com\/eng\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/European-stocks-fall-as-impact-of-Ukraine-war-spreads.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":4749,"url":"https:\/\/dailyrapidnews.com\/eng\/2021\/02\/16\/pakistan-reaches-agreement-with-imf-for-release-of-500m\/","url_meta":{"origin":22457,"position":2},"title":"Pakistan reaches agreement with IMF for release of $500m","date":"February 16, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The International Monetary Fund and Pakistan have reached an agreement for a set of economic measures the completion of which would release $500 million to the country. 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Speaking to Bloomberg TV and Reuters on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;latest&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"Pakistan expects its economy to grow by more than 4% during the current fiscal year despite higher oil prices and economic risks linked to the prolonged Middle East conflict, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has said. Speaking to Bloomberg TV and Reuters on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank in Bangkok, Aurangzeb outlined the government's strategy to stabilise the economy, manage external debt repayments, attract investment and accelerate privatisation. He said Pakistan had secured adequate fuel supplies without shortages, while critical sectors such as agriculture were holding up despite external pressures. Pakistan targets growth above 4% Aurangzeb said he remained confident that Pakistan's economy could record growth of more than 4% in the current fiscal year, even as elevated oil prices create challenges for the country's economic outlook. Pakistan remains vulnerable to a prolonged Middle East conflict because it depends heavily on Gulf energy imports, remittances and financing support from the region. The country also continues to rely on external financing to strengthen foreign exchange reserves and meet debt repayment obligations. The finance minister said the government was closely monitoring inflation because movements in prices can have knock-on effects on commodity costs and broader economic stability. He stressed that maintaining inflation, foreign exchange reserves and the policy rate at appropriate levels was essential to safeguarding economic stability. Pakistan expands access to int'l capital markets In his interview with Bloomberg TV, Aurangzeb said Pakistan's debt strategy was designed to broaden access to global capital markets while easing pressure from external debt repayments. Pakistan returned to international capital markets after a four-year hiatus, issuing $3 billion in Eurobonds approximately three weeks before the interview. 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