IMF projects Pakistan’s GDP growth at 3.6%

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has kept Pakistan’s economic growth forecast unchanged, projecting GDP growth of 3.6% for the current fiscal year 2026-27 — below the government’s 4% target.

In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF also warned that inflation is expected to rise globally, including in Pakistan, as geopolitical tensions and supply chain risks continue to weigh on the global economy.

The International Monetary Fund has released its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, maintaining its forecast for Pakistan’s economy despite ongoing global uncertainties.

According to the report, Pakistan’s economy is expected to grow by 3.6% during fiscal year 2026-27, the same projection the IMF issued in April. The forecast remains below the 4% GDP growth target set by the federal government for the current fiscal year.

The IMF’s unchanged outlook suggests that while Pakistan’s economy continues to recover, growth is likely to remain slower than the government’s expectations.

Pakistan missed growth target

The report also highlighted that Pakistan fell short of its economic growth target in the previous fiscal year.

According to the IMF, the country’s economy expanded by 3.6%, compared with the government’s target of 4.2%, marking another year in which actual growth remained below official expectations.