India Pak relations, An update

India Pak relations, An update

The latest developments in India-Pakistan relations show a mix of diplomatic outreach, conditional dialogue proposals, and a backdrop of long-standing issues. 

Recently, Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif expressed readiness for “conditional” talks with India, a move supported by the United States which emphasizes the importance of direct dialogue between the two countries. 

This openness to dialogue comes despite the deterioration of diplomatic ties since 2019, following India’s decision to revoke the special status of Jammu and Kashmir. 

The proposition aims to address serious matters and move away from the option of conflict, acknowledging the detrimental effects of previous wars and tensions on both nations’ 

Looking into 2024, there’s speculation on whether the relationship between India and Pakistan could normalize, especially with general elections due in India. 

Since 2019, diplomatic relations have been particularly strained. Both sides have placed preconditions for peace talks: India demands Pakistan cease cross-border terrorism, while Pakistan calls for the reversal of India’s abrogation of Article 370 regarding Kashmir’s status. 

Despite these political stances, there have been gestures that hint at possible normalization, such as Pakistan issuing thousands of visas to Indian pilgrims and a strict adherence to the ceasefire understanding in 2023.

Moreover, despite the historical and political complexities, there have been moments signaling a thaw in relations. For instance, the exchange of sweets between Indian Border Security Forces and Pakistan Rangers on the 76th Independence Day signifies a subtle, yet positive gesture between the two countries 

Efforts toward a warmer relationship face significant hurdles, including fundamental disagreements over the Kashmir issue and accusations of support for terrorism. 

However, improvements in trade relations and the shared challenges like climate change offer areas where cooperation might be achievable. These developments reflect a complex relationship marked by cautious optimism for improvement amidst deeply rooted disputes.

A statement on India Pak relations of this week from the new foreign minster of Pakistan  Ishaq Dar is a mature and positive one to start talks on  business with India. 

Let’s see how the Indians react to it , which they will.

The elections are coming up in May with June 4 as the date for counting of nationwide votes.

The BJP has lost some ground lately, incl the Kejriwal drama in ND. But it will return to power.

Will Modi bite the bullet before that and respond positively to Pakistani suggestions

or wait till after the govt is formed there? We will find out soon. 

One logical step would be posting of High Commissioner, of based on reciprocity. The exchange of HCs is essential,  to put across narratives between the two neighbours equipped with nuclear weapons. 

For exchange of HCs the ground work has to be done behind the scenes first . 

Perhaps the new governments on the both sides (consisting on same old experienced teams ) may bring a change in the region during 2024. 

Dr Ashraf Chohan

Cheif Editor Daily Rapid Lahore

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